Insight on Business

May 2014

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44 | I nsIgh t • M a y 2 0 14 w w w . i n s i g h t o n b u s i n e s s . c o m T hIs month, RussIa and ChIna ContInue to make headlines amid changing international markets. While Russia's Crimean intervention continues to spook investors, Chinese equity markets saw some recovery due to a "mini-stimulus" package announced by Premier Keqiang. however, investors are still cautious since the mini-stimulus echoes former Premier Wen Jiabao's costly 2008 stimulus package. China's long-term growth outlook remains pessimistic, further hampered by President Xi Jinping's recent plan to crack down on government corruption. Bank of america has estimated that the crackdown could cost the Chinese economy $100 billion in losses over the year. Concerns in Russia and China have had a formidable impact on u.s. markets since the beginning of the year. e u.s. equity market has continued its sideways skid as the s&P 500 returned just over 1 percent during the first quarter 2014. is trajectory could be attributed to stagnant unemployment rates, which have hovered around 6.7 percent since december, according to e appleton group. Because of those rates, the u.s. Federal Reserve may decide to delay its reduction of asset purchases. at decision would increase buying pressure in u.s. markets. however, it may also send a negative message to investors that the Fed isn't confident in the u.s. economy's ability to grow without more stimulus. cleartRend offers market analysis and research on any individual stock, mutual fund, or economic sector, including markets in northeast Wisconsin. is may, we showcase the tourism, team building, and construction sectors of the economy. also featured are the largest employment sectors for door & Kewaunee counties, current trend analysis on select companies headquartered in Wisconsin, and international economic trends. is month's cleartRend u.s. economic health Index tm shows that 72 percent of u.s. sectors are expanding. "It is amazing how quickly price trends can change due to an announcement of government stimulus," says mark scheffler of e appleton group. "unfortunately for investors, there is no way of predicting when or what the next announcement will be. e best we can do is be prepared to make adjustments." Key: = uptrend = downtrend Ticker = trading symbol (individual securities only) Trend Began = date on which current trend was identified Confidence = clearTREND's historic success rate in generating capital gains based on accurate trend identification clearTREND U.S. Economic Health Index: trending i n fo c u s Investors cautious amid Chinese 'mini-stimulus' and Russian politics Overseas concerns impact U.S. This index measures more than 130 unique U.S. market sectors to determine how many are expanding, stable, or contracting. More than 50% of expanding sectors are healthy, while less than 50% are not. 71% Expanding: 72% Stable: 18% Contracting: 10% Poor Fair Good Excellent Sector Focus Tourism & Team Building Description Ticker Trend Began Confidence Expedia Inc EXPE 11/19/13 81.63% HomeAway Inc AWAY 4/9/14 76.00% Interval Leisure Group Inc IILG 3/11/14 87.88% Makemytrip Limited MMYT 6/25/13 79.17% Orbitz Worldwide Inc OWW 2/21/14 80.00% The Priceline Group Inc PCLN 12/17/12 77.94% Travelzoo Inc TZOO 4/4/14 73.03% TripAdvisor Inc TRIP 2/11/14 82.35% Construction Description Ticker Trend Began Confidence Aecom Technology Corp ACM 2/27/14 82.35% Caterpillar Inc CAT 12/13/13 76.84% Deere & Co DE 3/4/14 73.39% Emcor Group Inc EME 12/23/13 82.11% Fluor Corp FLR 4/8/14 74.55% Jacobs Engineering Group Inc JEC 3/3/14 77.71% MasTec Inc MTZ 12/27/13 75.60% URS Corp URS 3/28/14 82.16% Data as of 4/8/2014

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